AI Market Outlook vs. Reality: Expectations and Limitations
The global artificial intelligence (AI) market is entering a phase of explosive expansion — but also one that demands discernment. According to a June 2025 report from Precedence Research , the market is projected to grow from approximately US $638.2 billion in 2025 to US $3.68 trillion by 2034 , representing a striking compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 19.2% . (Source: Precedence ) Breaking this down further, AI software remains the largest segment (over 45% of total market share), followed by AI services (about 35%) and AI hardware (around 20%) — a distribution that reflects both the maturity of the software layer and the growing importance of specialized chips such as NVIDIA’s H100 and Google’s TPU. Yet these impressive figures raise a critical question: Do market numbers truly reflect real, sustainable business value — or just another wave of tech hype? Big Numbers… but Growing Fatigue The momentum behind AI is undeniable. From finance and healthcare to manufactu...